俄石油产量到2020-2025年将减少14%质押贷款

据路透社2月18日莫斯科报道，俄罗斯能源部在公布的压力预测中称，如油价将维持在低位，石油公司将削减资本支出，预计在2020-2025年间，该国石油产量可能会从2015年的5.34亿吨减少到4.6亿吨。

压力预测中显示，供求不平衡的状态仍将继续，油价在2016-2017年将维持在每桶31-33美元之间，到2020年可升至每桶42美元，俄罗斯石油产量在2020-2025年前将持续减少，然后会开始略有增加。

形成上述预测的原因有几个方面，包括中国和亚洲其他国家经济增长放缓，来自中东地区的廉价原油供应持续增长，美国页岩油气产量上升等等。

沈佳蕾摘译自路透社

原文如下：

Russia's oil output may drop 14 pct by 2020-2025 - Energy Ministry

Feb 18 Russia's oil output may drop to 460 million tonnes in 2020-2025 from last year's 534 million tonnes as oil prices stay low and oil firms cut capital expenditure, according to张力仪 a "stress scenario" published by Russia's energy ministry.

Under the scenario oil prices are assumed to stay at $31-33 per barrel in 2016-2017, rising to $42 by 2020, the ministry said, forecasting a continued misma通风机tch in supply and demand.

Oil output in Russia would decline until 2020-2025 and only start rising slightly in the following years.

The scenario could be prompted by a combination of several factors, including slower growth in China and other Asian economies, growing supplies of cheap crude from the Middle East and a rise in U.S. shale oil and gas output.